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Big Brown arrives in New York City….Belmont next in site

Posted by devildogtodd on May 20, 2008

Does that colt look like he even ran? Ears pricked. Looks like he was out for a Saturday stroll.

Big Brown stepped off the van at Belmont Park today looking like he never even ran on Saturday…of course he didn’t need to run much! He is so superior to any three year old running right now that he can basically just turn it on for 3/8ths of a mile and win.

The task on hand in the Belmont is going to be a bit tougher, not because any of these three year olds are of his caliber, but because of the distance. The mile-and-a-half Belmont Stakes is not always won by the best horse in the best of circumstances. The distance is a distance these horses, 99% of them, will never run again. It is the distance that gets horses beat.

But Big Brown is different. He has brilliant tactical speed. He has terrific early speed to be put anywhere the rider wants him to be and best of all…he seems to be able to run all day long. In order to beat Big Brown they are going to have to make him run fast…EARLY. Probably not going to happen.

In races this long these horses can just lope along at a very comfortable pace for them. Then they are only asked to run about 3/8ths of a mile, if that. If Big Brown gets caught up in some sort of crazy speed deal, which is really hard to imagine, he can be beat. But if they set average fractions and he is on the lead or close to it…the race is over.

People keep talking about stamina when they mention the Belmont. Well stamina is a factor, but when a horse runs as effortless as Big Brown does he does not need “mile-and-a-half” stamina to win. He is so much the best after 1 1/4 miles that no one can catch him that last 1/4.

We all keep hearing about Casino Drive…but who did he beat. No one. When he runs against Big Brown he really is going to meet the Godzilla of horse racing. He better be EXCEPTIONAL to have even a slight chance of beating Big Brown.

There was one moment in the Preakness that showed just how GREAT Big Brown is…at the top of the lane he was asked to run for maybe a 1/16th of a mile. He immediately opened up six lengths in about six strides. He actually looked like he re-broke. Rarely will you see a horse open up that quick. You saw about three separate runs from him during the race, which is not something you see much from even the best horses.

Dutrow (and God, isn’t he wonderful) knows that the only thing that gets this colt beat is sickness, injury, or a really bad trip. What you will see from Dutrow is just a series of long strong gallops and probably a 5/8ths or 3/4 work about a week before the race. A shorter workout is probably going to happen the day of or the day before the race.

What we are seeing here is potentially one of the greatest horses to ever run. We’ll find out just how great this guy is in about three weeks. Until then, just keep this guy happy and sound Rick. Most of us are rooting for you.

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NBA Playoff selection, New Orleans to get it done versus the Spurs

Posted by devildogtodd on May 20, 2008

It is very difficult to go against a wiley and taleneted team like the San Antonio Spurs in the playoffs but we are going to to do it. The Spurs run comes to an end tonight. At some point you need more than experience and the Spurs simply do not have the athletic ability to beat the Hornets on the road.

So far at home in this series the Hornets have destroyed the Spurs in every game. They have beaten them by 22, 18, and 19 points in the three games in New Orleans. Well, we don’t need them to win by that much, we need them to win by five. Just give us a five point win!

The problem with the Spurs has been the second half, they look slower and far less athletic in the second half of the games in New Orleans. We expect that to continue and would not be surprised to see the Hornets with a double digit victory.

New Orleans -4 over the Spurs.

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Chicago leads the way with our MLB 5/19/08 Baseball selections

Posted by devildogtodd on May 20, 2008

We are continuing on with our Four Game Chase System play on the Chicago Cubs. This is the second game of this bet. We are also adding another Four Game Chase System play in the Colorado game.

The Cubs -120 vs. Houston. As usual you bet LISTED pitchers. Listed pitchers for this game are Lilly and Moehler.

Colorado -1.5, +140 vs. San Francisco. Listed pitchers here are Misch and De La Rosa.

We will most likely be back with at least two more picks for later on today. However, we do not force picks. Forcing picks, when a good play is not there, is a sure sign that you have no business wagering on sports! Patience, patience, patience!

You can get all of our picks for only $30 a day!

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Results for 5/18/08 MLB Baseball Selections

Posted by devildogtodd on May 19, 2008

We went sideways yesterday with our four picks. Our two winners, Boston over 9.5 and Kansas City team total over 4 won easily, while our Four Game Chase System play with the Cubs -1.5, +115 LOST and the Pittsburgh team total over 4 lost.

So at the end of the day we lost a total of .05 units, or a nickel! If that is a bad day, we’ll take it.

We will be coming back with two games on the Four Game Chase System and possibly some later totals.

You can have all picks for only $30 a month.

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MLB Selections for 5/18/08, Chicago Cubs on the Four Game Chase System

Posted by devildogtodd on May 18, 2008

We will lead off our selections with the only Four Game Chase System Play we have. And that is the Chicago Cubs. We will be taking the Cubs -1.5 on the RL, +115 for the game. This is a chase system game and listed pitchers MUST be bet. Dumatrait and Marquis.

Our next selection is Pittsburgh team total over 4.5, -105.

We’ll also take Kansas City team total over 4.

Boston/Milwaukee over 9.5

You can get all of our selections for only $30 a month.

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Results for 5/17/08

Posted by devildogtodd on May 18, 2008

We just missed having a very good night, but we do end up having a winning one. Boston pushes in our first game. Pittsburgh wins. Milwaukee goes over the team total of five. And the Whitesox lose the team total over five.

So we end up +.9 units on the day. And remember, these are REAL units. We do not play play multiple unit games just so we can say we won more units than we really did.

You can get all of our picks for only $30 a day.

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Big Brown detractors already coming out….pathetic!

Posted by devildogtodd on May 18, 2008

It didn’t take long for some of the big mouths in racing to start bashing Big Brown…one of them being Andy “doesn’t know that much about real racing’ Beyer. To say this colt is not something special because he has beaten a mediocre group of horses is ridiculous.

He has DESTROYED every field he has run against. Every single of them of them. His times have been fast, although not brilliantly fast. He hasn’t had to run brilliantly fast to win. He did something no horse has done in the Florida Derby….he won from the far outside post in a cake walk.

He did something in the Derby only one horse had ever did…win from the the 20 post and he did it in a cake walk.

He barely broke a sweat in winning the Preakness. You might have a point questioning his greatness if he was BARELY winning these races….but he is winning without much effort and doing things other horses have not done before.

You simply cannot tell me that this colt could not have EASILY run five lengths faster today if he was pushed at all. He wasn’t touched with the whip and was geared down the last 1/8 of  a mile.

Big Brown is one of the best horses to EVER step foot on a track…all horsemen who have been around the game can see the greatness. Guys like Andy Beyer just think numbers. They don’t understand how impressive his comeback race in February was. They don’t understand that not one time has this horse really had to lower his belly….because these horses simply can’t keep up. They might not be great horses he is running against, but they are a decent group of three year olds. He is just making them look silly with his brilliance.

So let the naysayers come out…if Big Brown wins the Belmont Stakes…he deservedly should be considered great. When you do something only 11 others have done you should be considered great. When you do something no horse has done in 30 years you should be considered great. When you win the Triple Crown being undefeated you should be considered great.

Let’s see if he can do it. If he does hopefully numbers geeks like Andy Beyer will give this colt his due. Until now Big Brown has passed every test with flying colors and done it with style.

Posted in Horse racing, Sports Chat | Tagged: , , , | 3 Comments »

Two more MLB picks for the day

Posted by devildogtodd on May 17, 2008

We are going to go with two more team total overs tonight.

The first game involves Milwaukee team total over 4.5, -115. Milwaukee didn’t do much in the first game today against the Boston Redsox, they had their chances though. We think they’ll have a lot of chances again and cash in on those chances this time.

And the last game is the Chicago Whitesox team total over 4.5, -110. My god, the Giants are starting Zito. Enough said. Is this guy one of the pathetic pitchers in baseball today. YEP. He is.

So….here we go:

Milwaukee team total over 4.5, -115.

Chicago Whitesox team total over 4.5, -110.

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Revenge System Play now 13-2 for the season!

Posted by devildogtodd on May 17, 2008

Pittsburgh got the job done for us against the Cubs to take the Revenge System Play to an outstanding 13-2 for the season!

However, we had to settle for a push with the Redsox team total over five play. The Redsox had so many chances to blow this game wide open but just couldn’t do it! Happens sometimes.

We might be back with a play or two more. Crunching the numbers right now.

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Big Brown destroys the field in the 2008 Preakness

Posted by devildogtodd on May 17, 2008

Well, what can you say? Another sensational performance by Big Brown. This might have been his BEST performance, which is a scary thing considering he only had two weeks between races and was not even asked to run until the final 3/16th’s!

We’ll be back with our analysis of the race but the analysis will be very short and brief. There really is not much to say.

This colt will be incredibly difficult to beat in the Belmont. He looks like he can run all day long. What a super horse!

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