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2008 Preakness Picks

Posted by devildogtodd on May 17, 2008

Is there anyone out there that seriously thinks Big Brown is not going to win the 2008 Preakness? If so let’s here why you think anyone else has a chance. The only thing that gets Big Brown beat is a bad break (really bad), traffic problems, or an injury. This colt can bounce and still easily beat this group.

So here is why we think Big Brown wins the Preakness EASILY. First of all he is the best horse by probably seven or eight lengths. He could bounce and still not have a problem beating the next best horse is this race. In his last three starts this colt has ran beyers of 106, 106, and 109…while not being challenged in any of those races.

What makes this even more impressive is that he has done this with very little experience and not being dead fit and ready in any of those races. He might have been pretty tight for the Derby, but for the Preakness this guy is as ready as you can get.

Big Brown can go to the lead, sit right off the lead, or come from a little further back. But the impressive thing about his tactical speed is that it is better than any horses speed in this race. So Big Brown can basically take the lead at any point in this race….a huge advantage to have!

The other advantage Big Brown has over most of his rivals is his trainer. Dick Dutrow is a GREAT trainer. He is flaky as hell sometimes but this guy wins a lot of races and knows how to get a horse ready for a big race. His approach with Big Brown the past two weeks has been excellent. So picking the winner here is easy. It is Big Brown. But who fills out the exacta, trifecta, and superfecta?

Gayego had a nightmare trip in the Derby. He broke slowly, was shuffled back, became rank, and basically was done before they hit the first turn. This guy is a very good horse. Just not as good as Big Brown. His Arkansas Derby victory was a terrific race that earned him a 103 beyer, which was the second time in his career he broke the 100 beyer mark. Before the Derby he had never finished worse than second. He has a terrific rider in Mike Smith and has enough tactical speed to stay in contention. To us the obvious second choice.

Our third choice is Macho Again. His last race was terrific and we believe the distance will not be a problem. He has enough speed to stay in contention and looks like he will be a major force the last 3/16ths….for second or third!

Filling out our selections is Tres Borrachos. He figures to be on the lead until Big Brown decides to go. If for some reason the others, including Big Brown, wait to challenge him he could be on the lead till fairly late in this race. But we don’t think he is good enough to win unless he gets loose on a very slow pace.

Our selections for the 2008 Preakness:

1. Big Brown…. easy. 2. Gayego 3. Macho Again 4. Tres Borrachos

Don’t miss this race. We might be seeing one of the greatest horses to ever step foot onto a racetrack. Big Brown has a chance to make history by winning the Triple Crown…this next race will tell us a lot.


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