Sports Betting Today

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Big Brown to break from Post 7 in the Preakness

Posted by devildogtodd on May 14, 2008

Big Brown and Kent Desormeaux will win again

Kentucky Derby winner Big Brown will break from post seven in Saturday’s Preakness Stakes from Pimlico in Baltimore, Maryland. But does it really matter? Not really. If Big Brown breaks well from any post these other horses are at his mercy. Big Brown has the natural speed to get the lead or lay close, so unless he breaks poorly and gets in early traffic trouble this colt is the winner of the Preakness.

Only one horse from the Derby is taking a shot at Big Brown in the Preakness and that is Gayego, who had a rough trip in the Derby. However, Big Brown could give Gayego a five length head start and Gayego wouldn’t be close at the wire.

In racing you will hear the term “bounce” used a lot. And there is a concern Big Brown could bounce after the the big Derby win and coming back in two weeks. However bouncing is more of a concern when there are other horses that actually have a decent shot at beating a horse. NONE of these other horses have a shot at beating Big Brown if the Big Guy runs his race.

In his four lifetime starts not one single horse he has faced has come close to beating him. The colt is dead fit now, has more experience, and has a GREAT trainer in Dick Dutrow. Dutrow knows that not much needs to be done with Big Brown between the Derby and the Preakness. From all reports the horse is eating well, sound, and full of piss and vinegar. Nothing else really matters.

You might see Big Brown with a short snappy breeze, 3/8ths or less, later in the week just to let him stretch his legs out and open those lungs up. But his major work is done. Now the main focus of Dutrow will be to getting Big Brown as sound as possible and feeling as good as possible.

If Big Brown does go on and win the Preakness I don’t think there is any horse our there right now except for Casino Drive that can stop Big Brown from becoming the first Triple Crown winner in 30 years. For those of us that like superstars in any sport…we’ll be rooting for Big Brown to go the distance.

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